Monday 10 October 2022

#Khare_Vare_Matlai_Vare (Episode 27)... Vinit Vartak ©

 #Khare_Vare_Matlai_Vare (Episode 27)... Vinit Vartak ©

It is obvious that these moves played on the global stage will have an impact on India. India imports nearly 80% of its crude oil requirements. India's huge economic currency is spent on this. India is going to get hit in the dispute between America and Saudi Arabia. It is very important for India to have a stable price of mineral oil in the international market. Mineral oil has an impact on all aspects such as practical, political and economic. It is obvious that you and our common people are going to be affected by this game.

Another incident with the dispute between the US and Saudi Arabia will cause the price of mineral oil to rise. A group of 27 countries including the United States, the Allies and the European Union have agreed to impose sanctions on Russia's mineral oil. From December 1, European countries will stop all Russian oil coming in by sea. Only a small amount of oil and gas coming from Russia through pipelines will continue to be used. Apart from this, the price of oil to be sold to Russia is being curbed. It will be clear how much this price will be in the next few days. This means that Russia cannot sell oil for more than one price. The US and these countries will not pay more than this or will pressure the countries that are buying to buy at a certain price.

1/3 of Russia's economy depends on oil. An oil embargo is a restriction on Russia's economic capacity, thus limiting the amount of money Russia can spend on war. Already, Russia's economy has been crippled by the Ukraine war. These new restrictions are going to affect her further. How America plays double standards has become clear many times. On the one hand India was considered as our closest friend and on the other hand Pakistan was given financial support for F-16 aircrafts. Due to this, India has started playing its own moves. India made it clear to the US that India is not bound by your sanctions. Because you have not taken India into confidence as to what the terms of the embargo should be. How will India agree to terms that we do not agree to? So we will get oil and gas from Russia or any other country. We will not be part of any conditions to meet our needs. No one can stop India from buying oil from Russia. But there are some technical difficulties.

The oil tankers that bring oil to India from Russia. All those ships or tankers belong to American or European companies. Also, the companies insuring this trip are American. It is obvious that these companies and their tankers will be restricted in the movement of oil when all these countries impose restrictions.Of course, he will have his way, but the burden of the extra cost will definitely fall on the Indian consumers. Due to the impending sanctions in December, the use of Russian oil in international trade will decrease, which will naturally increase the demand for natural oil. It is obvious that if the demand increases, the price will also increase. India does not get all its mineral oil from Russia. Even today, Saudi Arabia is India's largest oil importer. It is clear that India will bear the brunt of this cost. Therefore, the prices of petrol/diesel will increase in the coming time. For this, instead of blaming the same on any politician or party, we should realize that the global situation is going to cause it. Some political leaders like first take Pakistan Occupied Kashmir and then we will consider you as leaders of democracy, only they will not look back to celebrate Diwali because petrol has become so expensive during their reign.But I sincerely feel that serious people should think about what is the real situation.

US-India relations are currently at such a crossroads that it is difficult to say where it will go next. This is because America and allied countries, including India's close friends France, Japan, and Australia, have not succumbed to that pressure even after creating pressure in every way. So far India has not spoken a word against the action taken by Russia. India has not supported any action of NATO. India has not condemned Russia or imposed economic and political sanctions. The implication is that NATO and US action and pressure against Russia has been a complete failure. US plans to impose an economic blockade on Russia have been thwarted by India and China. China is not even close to America or other countries. But the fact that India did not honor its request when India was in its group is a pain to America. As part of that, there has been a stagnation or ambiguity in India-US relations in the past few days. It is being said that America giving money to Pakistan for F-16 fighter jets is a move, while India was absent in the United Nations on the proposal against China and gave the same answer to America.

This proposal was made by the United States under the Human Rights Commission of the United Nations to speak out against the injustice being done by China in Udgir, China. Basically no one begs the United Nations. There is only chat. Every big country is doing what it wants. You can control small countries but when it comes to big nations like Russia, China, India, America, history says that these nations do not give any place to gossip or action. America wants to stop China by any means. America is doing what it can for that. Even now, for bringing this issue to the United Nations, America wanted to spoil the image of China. Now someone will say that India had a golden opportunity to remove China's thorn. But remember sometimes two steps forward requires one step back. If America can see its own benefit, why not India? India has killed two birds with one stone by being absent.

One is that India did not incur the wrath of China for no reason. India's step was welcomed by China in a way. The other side of this is that China is a permanent member of the United Nations. And he can bring the small and big events happening in India tomorrow on the platform of the United Nations and immediately tear apart the politics of India. Many Anti India people with Bharat Libradu are waiting for this opportunity. Which India does not want. China was also going to show a hater to this proposal of the United Nations. Then why should we take evil. The second bird is showing America their place. If your policy is for America then India's policy is for India. The motion was defeated 19-17. If India had sided with America, America's plan to trap China in a dilemma would have been accomplished. But because it was rejected, America is in a state of shock.

Those who are crying are now hiding behind the curtain to get India to side with Ukraine. Today, those who call Putin Hitler are keeping their mouths shut. What is the real game is coming out now. The question here is why with Russia and not with Ukraine. The question is, how much can it cost us to unnecessarily take sides in a conflict between two countries? Because it doesn't take time to turn the tables. When today's friends join hands with our enemies tomorrow, we have guarded our every step. Today, due to the diplomatic moves played by India very cautiously and with right estimation, the Prime Minister of India can speak openly with the leaders of both Ukraine and Russia simultaneously. Can have very good relations with both countries. What's more, they can openly promise to mediate as a friend of both to resolve the issue. Note that it takes courage to tell both the leaders face to face and a lot of effort to maintain such a relationship. While doing all this, many thoughtful steps have been taken to keep our relations with our other friends America, France, Australia, Japan, United Kingdom at the same level.

Today India is nowhere but everywhere in this war. Both sides are curious as to what role India will take and in which group it will go.The missions of both groups are partial in a way that India does not lean towards one side. This may seem like an exaggeration but the coming time will answer this. I think a statement made by Putin is very important. When the Prime Minister of India told Putin,

"I know that today's era is not an era of war, and I have spoken to you on the phone about this." 

Narendra Modi , prime minister of India

This one sentence was so hyped by the American and worldwide news agencies that India is now against Russia, India should not give harsh words to Russia. But nobody printed what Putin replied to this. What Putin said is very important. Because it shows that your friend is aware of your situation. He knows all about why we said that. We are sure together. Putin said,

"I know your position on the conflict in Ukraine, your concerns that you constantly express, We will do everything to stop this as soon as possible. Only, unfortunately, the opposing side, the leadership of Ukraine, announced its rejection of the negotiation process and stated that it wants to achieve its goals by military means."

Vladimir Putin, president of Russia. 

Time will tell what exactly these salty winds and matlai winds do next. This means that we should be prepared for some tough times for now.

To be continued... 

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