Will the third world war really happen? ... Vinit Vartak ©
This question is on everyone's mind. The traces of this war are taken against the current background.
What happens next in the wake of the Ukraine-Russia war?
After the partition of Russia in 1991, the United States once again began to scrape its head. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) was established by European countries in 1949 to reduce Russia's dominance. America has been leading this group till date. In fact, the group was not needed when Russia seceded and the Cold War ended. But the United States joined hands with European countries and began to make the 15 countries that broke away from Russia a member of NATO. Some of these countries became members of NATO. Russia has objected to this, warning that the United States is heading in the wrong direction. The anger of Russia and Russian President Vladimir Putin reached its peak when Ukrainian politicians began taking steps to join NATO.
Ukraine and Russia have a long and close relationship. Its history goes back many centuries. Russia has a lot of influence on the culture of Ukraine. Ukraine is second only to Russia in Europe in area. Ukraine has a huge border of 2295 km with Russia. Ukraine is very rich in natural resources. Ukraine has large reserves of uranium and natural gas. Even though Ukraine is not part of Russia today, many people in Ukraine still want to be part of Russia. That is why rebels dominate parts of eastern Ukraine today. These rebels are still fighting and revolting against the Ukrainian government to go to Russia. If Ukraine becomes a member of NATO, then Russia's capital Moscow is only 490 kilometers away. This simply means that under the guise of NATO, the US military, intelligence agencies and missiles will continue to lash out at Russia, even at the behest of Moscow.
This is what Putin don't want. Despite the explanation, Ukrainian politicians decided to go ahead with the US and NATO. We are with you The United States has reassured Ukrainian politicians by saying that it is up to the United States to take action if anything happens. They compared Russian President Putin to Hitler and challenged the world to come together to cover Russia's economic woes. If that were to happen, Putin knew in that look that if he were to seize control of Ukraine, it would be a victory for Russia and, alternatively, for Russia's security. Gathering troops on the border, Russia somehow warned of the consequences for Ukraine. But the moves played by the US and NATO were not understood by Ukrainian politicians. The United States had slapped him in the eye so much that it did not know that NATO and the United States will back off if a war broke out. In the end, the only thing that nobody wanted was Russia's invasion of Ukraine which happened yesterday.
Will the war between Ukraine and Russia be the third world war? How long will this war last? What are the possible consequences?
It is my clear view that the scope of the war between Russia and Ukraine will be limited to those two countries. The reason for this is that whoever enters the third in the quarrel between the two is likely to suffer the most. European countries do not have the strength to go to war against Russia. In addition, the United States has already withdrawn its intention to join war because it will not send troops. Because Russia has the undisputed power to show its place to anyone who goes against Russia. Russia has the most nuclear missiles and weapons in the world. Russia will not look back when using any of these weapons in such a situation. Russia is not a democracy. Therefore, the power of left and right is not worth a stick. 5-6 Prime Ministers came and went in India. But Putin is still in the same place. So the world has an idea of his strength. If anyone can fight against Russia, it is the United States, but such a big threat is not affordable to the American economy and the United States as a whole.
Yesterday, the Prime Minister of India and the President of Russia Putin had a 25 minute discussion. What they talk won't come in public domain. But from what has come, it is clear that Russia wants to end the war asap. That limit, I think, could be the next 24 to 48 hours. The implication is that the Indian Prime Minister has made it clear to Putin that it will be difficult for India to side with Russia if the war continues for a longer period. Not only for India, but for Russia as a whole.it will difficult So I think there could be a ceasefire in the next 2-3 days.
The potential consequence of this war is that Russia's economy will become even more fragile. The whole world will have to suffer the consequences. The biggest blow to European countries will come in the form of natural gas. So a country like India will have to bear the brunt of this. Fuel prices in India are likely to rise by Rs 10-15 in the near future as crude oil prices have risen to 103 $ a barrel today. At the same time, pressure from the United States and NATO countries could increase if Russia does not sign a defense agreement or close the agreement. The phone call made by the Prime Minister yesterday was part of a request from France to resolve the issue. So I wrote above that as long as this war lasts, India will be under pressure from European countries, America.
Is India's role in Ukraine-Russia dispute appropriate?
India has no direct or indirect involvement in this war. India's relations are based on friendly relations with Russia. Russia has remained neutral on every issue of India, either side by side or where it is not possible to take sides. That is why India's role today is so right. Some Facebook experts will say that India should take an open stance on Russia and that this government is taking a cue role or that India is silent because of US pressure. But as written above, it is ridiculous for India to play a role or expect that when India has no direct or indirect connection with these things. This means that if there is a quarrel between the two neighbors on the side of your house, you should decide who is right and who is wrong when you have not asked about it. Such opinion has no value. On the contrary, by displaying such an opinion, we are reducing our value. It draws the anger of both. The best role to play is not to take sides. When you are asked to mediate, you should advise both neighbors to settle their dispute peacefully. This is exactly the role that India has taken.
To go against the US and NATO and say that we are on Russia's side is to spoil our relations with all these countries. Tomorrow Ukraine will become part of Russia or the war will end with a treaty between them. But India's relationship will deteriorate forever. India has very good relations with all the countries like USA, United Kingdom, France, Germany. At the same time, we have a very old and close friendly relationship with Russia. India has clarified the root of the issue without taking sides. At the same time, India's role has been clarified. India, on the other hand, made a phone call yesterday to Putin & conveyed about the pressure on India, as well as the killing of innocent civilians in the war and the war as a whole. Which Putin has promised to consider. I don't think there can be a more decisive role than this.
Should India help Ukraine? Is Ukraine's suggestion that Indian PM should mediate is right?
Ukraine has no moral right to talk about India. This is because Ukraine had voted against India after the 1998 nuclear test. They supplied Weapons and tanks to Pakistan. Also, they voted against India in United Nations to mediate in the Kashmir issue. So how ridiculous is that to call India for mediation. Yesterday, the Prime Minister of India made a phone call, not at the behest of Ukraine, but at the behest of France. France is a very close friend of India. As such, the phone call has been made for the safety of Indian students and citizens stranded in Ukraine. In which Putin made it clear that Russia is committed to keeping Indian citizens safe. I am sure that in the next few days, 18,000 students stranded in Ukraine will be evacuated safely.
Now I stop here. As the next picture will become clearer after the events of the next few days. I will write about it again.
Jai Hind !!!
Footnote: - The points and opinions written in it are mine. I have no qualms about imposing it on anyone or saying that they are right. Take as much as your intellect allows and if you don't like it, give it up. This is a humble request.
Note: - The wording in this post is copyrighted.
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