Monday 2 January 2023

#Khare_Vare_Matlai_Vare (Episode 28)... Vinit Vartak ©

 #Khare_Vare_Matlai_Vare (Episode 28)... Vinit Vartak ©

Almost 51 years ago today, on 16 December 1971. 93,000 Pakistani troops surrendered to the Indian Army in East Pakistan. After dividing India, the British created East and West Pakistan. But they forgot to prepare the leadership needed to run a country. Pakistan was born out of hatred and it was that hatred that led to its downfall in history. East Pakistan is the current Bangladesh where the Muslim leaders from the West started running the country in their own way with a majority of Bengali people. That's when the spark of this discontent was born. That spark turned into a wildfire in a few years and Pakistan lost power. The whole world therefore had to place a new nation in its map. The need to retell all this history has arisen again now that the global winds have shifted once again. Matlai winds have now become salty and are blowing towards Pakistan. These winds have given Pakistan a warning of a terrible storm to come. Therefore, after this storm, the possibility of Pakistan's power to fly once again is fast approaching. That is why we must understand the implications.

21 October 2011 was the day when US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton went to Pakistan and made a statement, she said,

"You can't keep snakes in your backyard and expect them only to bite your neighbors,"

There was a great deal of context hidden in this sentence. In a sense, She gave the Pakistani leadership a glimpse of what was to happen in the future. She made this statement when she met the leaders of the terrorist group Haqqani Network in Pakistan. But Pakistan or the Pakistani leadership completely ignored this and continued to feed these snakes in their backyard. They protected them. Today after almost a decade these snakes have made Pakistan their target. Things are slipping out of Pakistan's hands. The same snakes that Pakistan has nurtured are now coming to bite them. have come together. Now their stature has grown so much that they have formed an alternative or parallel government by challenging the Pakistani government. In it, the cabinet and the ministers of various departments have also been determined. Today, an area several times larger than Kashmir has escaped from the hands of Pakistan, which has been pushing all the thresholds for the territory of Kashmir for the last 7 decades. It is increasing every day. But it is indeed a great tragedy that even today Pakistan, born out of hatred, does not realize what it is losing.

In order to overthrow the democratic regime in Afghanistan, Pakistan systematically encouraged the Taliban leadership and their extremist activities. Pakistan has forgotten that it is raising the wrong people in the name of destroying Afghanistan. In 2007, Tehreek-e-Taliban-e-Pakistan (TTP) was founded by Baitullah Mehsud in Waziristan province of Pakistan. First under the umbrella of the Afghan Taliban, this organization strengthened its grip in the tribal and hilly areas of Pakistan. The main goal of this organization became to overthrow the democratic and military rule in Pakistan and bring the Taliban rule there. They started a secret war in this part of Pakistan. Pakistan's leadership, which is the cat under the plate of America, Military action had to be taken against TTP. From here the dissatisfaction between the TTP and the Pakistani government reached its peak. Till the time USA was with Pakistan army. Pakistan Army had a confidence and was fighting TTP. TTP realized that till America is there they can not win war. Then they signed a peace agreement with the Pakistani government in 2004. 

On August 30, 2021, the US left Afghanistan and the Taliban once again established their rule in Afghanistan. On the one hand, the power came into the hands of the Taliban and once again for the TTP. An opportunity arose to attack Pakistan. Amjad Farooqui faction, a faction of Lashkar-e-Jhangvi, Musa Shaheed Karwan faction, Mehsud faction of TTP, Mohmand Taliban, Bajaur Taliban, Jamaat-ul-Ahrar and Hizbul-ul-Ahrar merged with TTP. Therefore, the strength of TTP increased tremendously. Pakistan was in financial trouble. At the same time as Pakistan was paying attention to its economic situation, Pakistan's military grip started to loosen. TTP under the leadership of Noor Wali Mehsud. once again turned its march towards the villages and regions of West Pakistan. In this area, there was a lot of resentment among the Baloch and Pashtun people against the Pakistani government. There were many agitations for the independence of Balochistan. The Pakistanis, especially the Baloch people, who had not accepted China's involvement, were being harassed by Chinese people from outside. There was great anger among the people here. TTP as enemy of natural enemy. Along with the Baloch and Pashtun people came and started attacking the Pakistani army.

On the one hand, the deteriorating economic situation, on the one hand, and the Taliban power united against Pakistan, Pakistan has been completely caught in the last few months. Noor Wali Mehsud ordered to target Pakistani police and soldiers in violation of the unilateral peace agreement without targeting Pakistani civilians. This is why there have been suicide attacks on Pakistani police and soldiers in the past month. TTP has continued its advancement by occupying many territories. Now they have directly challenged the Pakistani government by setting up a parallel government. Pakistan has started feeling the tremors of TTP's movement. The economic condition of Pakistan is so fragile that the government does not even have money to wage war. The Pakistani government is in a quandary over how to pay the soldiers. Therefore, Pakistan Army has somehow lost the courage and confidence to fight. Now Pakistan government taken decision to carry out airstrikes against TTP. Of course, there is doubt as to how successful these attacks will be. Because TTP attack is either suicidal or like guerilla techniques. This region of Pakistan is full of barren mountain ranges. Which has many caves and places to hide. 

India is keeping an eye on all this. Because there is a high possibility of terrorist attacks on India to divert attention from the speed at which things are happening. Also, the changing political and military calculus in Pakistan is important for India. Speaking about this situation at Cyprus, India's Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar has in a way shown a way out for Pakistan. If Pakistan abandons the path of terrorism and takes the path of reconciliation, then India can protect it not only from its financial crisis but also from Pakistan's partition. Obviously, the Pakistani leadership will not accept these things. It is an equally obvious fact that no one can save Pakistan except India. China's economic policy has been burdened by all these incidents. America does not want to enter the Taliban war. Russia is busy with its own battles. The only option and country can help Pakistan at this point is India. But it seems that the Pakistani leadership, immersed in its own arrogance and hatred, will not support India. 

Therefore, there is no doubt that the journey of Pakistan will be on the way to partition in the near future. In the coming time Pakistan can be divided in Baluchistan, Punjab, Sindh etc. into 3-4 parts. Even today, the salty winds are showing that once again after 51 years, the world may have to change its map. Although it is difficult to predict what will happen next from this storm, it is certain that Pakistan will fall into the pit dug for the world. Only time will tell how long it will take for this fall and how many pieces it will break once it falls.

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